Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 420.697389 479.075035 544.206375 622.546587 714.594010 819.768991 949.688014
2025-10-12 345.838356 424.843817 521.345810 649.114950 815.663279 1027.932205 1323.049799
2025-10-19 298.296064 384.497259 496.096028 653.498324 873.583709 1176.197733 1634.136987
2025-10-26 257.945965 344.980816 462.846479 637.574760 896.026756 1274.164476 1888.539915
2025-11-02 228.841631 315.683182 437.849642 626.856828 920.473917 1374.365953 2160.798510
2025-11-09 213.249562 302.866137 433.560438 644.213150 987.427072 1547.631021 2583.224505
2025-11-16 195.104958 283.921286 417.430354 640.245750 1018.487573 1665.915505 2933.838495
2025-11-23 178.792992 265.839109 400.254418 631.703479 1039.514482 1768.741861 3276.051732
2025-11-30 167.185684 253.769109 390.986841 634.567446 1079.794056 1911.400325 3727.004679
2025-12-07 154.223676 238.250891 374.409754 622.549289 1090.852564 1999.858046 4084.181424
2025-12-14 144.317736 226.788797 363.351401 618.737267 1116.245002 2119.891133 4538.933120
2025-12-21 131.984365 210.241684 342.084017 593.809577 1096.942274 2144.450799 4775.842320
2025-12-28 128.478603 208.606850 346.937834 618.973076 1183.146614 2412.831848 5696.349471
2026-01-04 125.633520 207.874555 353.334344 647.977086 1282.291276 2731.383066 6855.600907
2026-01-11 119.596022 200.924958 347.625787 652.058047 1327.975585 2933.984543 7759.700859
2026-01-18 111.582717 189.764092 333.030522 636.207525 1326.472542 3020.496668 8346.838151
2026-01-25 104.940842 180.630693 321.514984 625.513313 1335.317224 3135.278188 9064.289113
2026-02-01 102.081925 178.328103 323.006629 642.825896 1413.488635 3450.365889 10572.911831
2026-02-08 97.115646 171.647496 315.248942 638.868557 1438.728898 3625.166311 11657.860051
2026-02-15 92.078166 164.477993 305.921524 630.348009 1451.153861 3766.149273 12676.467672
2026-02-22 88.549972 160.010307 301.749310 633.204700 1493.722399 4006.915439 14203.532397
2026-03-01 83.886035 152.984866 291.712382 621.217033 1494.751502 4119.807037 15246.082575
2026-03-08 80.295526 147.885887 285.360889 617.414660 1517.893377 4309.662848 16729.743339